The stationary boundary is right across Acadiana this afternoon, leading to mostly cloudy skies and soggy conditions. This warm front was situated across the area last night, which can sometimes lead to what we call “elevated storms.” These storms, like the ones we saw last night, can sometimes produce heavy rainfall and frequent lightning, as lift in the mid-levels of the atmosphere is robust. With the warm front advancing north across the area tonight, there’s a slight chance that more storms could develop, especially north of I-10. Another weather factor that is being accessed tonight is the possibility of dense fog that could form as moist, stagnant air sits around the warm front. Dense Fog Advisories are in effect for the I-10 parishes and points south.
For tomorrow, the warm front will advance northward into central and northern parts of the state. This could push the majority of the rainfall north of Acadiana, although a few isolated showers will still be possible as Acadiana will be in what’s called the “warm sector” just south of the warm front.
Meanwhile, a mid-upper level low pressure system will approach the lower-plains, intensifying both atmospheric winds and lift. At the surface, a cold front is expected to develop across Texas, pushing into Louisiana by Saturday afternoon. Very warm days are expected tomorrow and Saturday as the warm front advances north.
South winds will begin to intensify on Saturday, as the low pressure system moves north of the area. Strong winds aloft will wrap around this low pressure area, moving into the Mississippi and Tennessee River valleys Saturday afternoon/evening. Due to the increase in atmospheric winds, a severe weather episode could be possible from Louisiana northward into the Ohio River valley. Taking a look at the usual severe weather parameters, it definitely appears that these indices will be higher across northern parts of Louisiana and into Arkansas and Tennessee, mainly due to proximity to the low pressure system. In these areas, an “Enhanced Level 3” risk has been issued through Saturday. The risk is much lower across Acadiana, only being labeled a “Marginal Level 1.” However, the threat for severe weather will definitely be increasing across the central and northern parts of the state and it appears central Louisiana could be on the tail-end of the action.
The main hazards for Acadiana will be damaging winds and isolated tornadoes. Download our weather app and stick with KLFY for the latest information through Saturday. A cold front will move through and clear us out late Saturday night and Sunday.
~Meteorologist Trevor Sonnier